The Z Files: An Early View of the First Round

The Z Files: An Early View of the First Round

This article is part of our The Z Files series.

It's not a secret; I'm a spreadsheet guy. My rankings are driven by projections. I've written ad nauseam about the shortcomings of projection theory and the flaws with valuation, but I still favor a formulaic baseline as my foundation.

With drafts beginning earlier and earlier each season, social media posts referencing "My 2022 Rankings" are as widespread as pumpkin spice products. To be honest, every time I see one, I cringe. I'm talking about the rankings, not pumpkin spice. The only pumpkin spice thing I've ever had is a Kind bar, and they're pretty good. They're even better when the price drops in December.

I get that not everyone does the Excel thing when it comes to rankings. Even so, I have trouble trusting rankings based on nothing more than feel and instinct.

On the other hand, I know it's wrong to just "take one off the top" of an objective rankings list. The aforementioned faults associated with projections and the resulting values are one reason, with roster construction, risk profile and team needs comprising some others.

Even so, I'm uncomfortable ranking more than a handful of players by hand. Don't get me wrong, I'll absorb every rankings list made available in the next few months, and I'll pay them heed. However, there will also be a lot of head shaking on my part.

As discussed last time, I'll be pairing with Derek VanRiper in about a week, as the Premature Edraftulation League is slated to commence the evening

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Todd Zola
Todd has been writing about fantasy baseball since 1997. He won NL Tout Wars and Mixed LABR in 2016 as well as a multi-time league winner in the National Fantasy Baseball Championship. Todd is now setting his sights even higher: The Rotowire Staff League. Lord Zola, as he's known in the industry, won the 2013 FSWA Fantasy Baseball Article of the Year award and was named the 2017 FSWA Fantasy Baseball Writer of the Year. Todd is a five-time FSWA awards finalist.
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