Ryan McMahon
Ryan McMahon
26-Year-Old Second Baseman2B
Colorado Rockies
2021 Fantasy Outlook
McMahon ranked second on the Rockies with nine home runs in 2020, but he had some struggles with putting the ball in play throughout the season. He mainly occupied the strong side of a platoon toward the end of the year as he recorded a career-worst 34.2 K%, along with a 79.9 Z-Contact%. The 26-year-old had quite a consistent BABIP in 2018 (.327) and 2019 (.323), but the mark fell to .286 last season. He hit more batted balls in the air while keeping his hard-hit rate relatively steady, but his hit locations became more predictable as he had a 40.2% pull rate -- by far his highest number over a full season. McMahon's strikeout woes don't seem to be disappearing anytime soon, and he could find himself getting less at-bats against southpaws if his struggles making contact continue. However, he's proven to be a powerful hitter despite his downfalls and could provide mid-round value for fantasy managers. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#233
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $2.38 million contract with the Rockies in January of 2021.
Blasts another homer
2BColorado Rockies
April 10, 2021
McMahon went 2-for-4 with a two-run home run during Saturday's 4-3 loss at San Francisco.
ANALYSIS
The 26-year-old was 1-for-11 in the previous three games since launching three homers Tuesday against Arizona, but he returned to the home-run column Saturday. McMahon is 11-for-33 with five home runs, two doubles, seven runs and eight RBI through nine games this season.
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Batting Stats
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2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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2017 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
2
2
3
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
1
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2019
 
 
+1%
OPS vs LHP
2021
 
 
+7%
OPS vs RHP
2020
 
 
+6%
OPS vs LHP
2019
 
 
+1%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2019vs Left .787 229 30 15 39 1 .244 .294 .493
Since 2019vs Right .778 541 70 23 79 5 .246 .333 .445
2021vs Left 1.067 10 1 1 1 0 .333 .400 .667
2021vs Right 1.143 28 6 4 8 1 .321 .321 .821
2020vs Left .744 57 9 4 10 0 .192 .263 .481
2020vs Right .700 136 14 5 16 0 .225 .309 .392
2019vs Left .785 162 20 10 28 1 .257 .298 .487
2019vs Right .775 377 50 14 55 4 .247 .342 .433
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2019
 
 
+31%
OPS at Home
2021
 
 
+74%
OPS at Home
2020
 
 
+28%
OPS at Home
2019
 
 
+27%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2019Home .883 407 61 28 78 3 .270 .337 .546
Since 2019Away .672 359 39 10 40 3 .219 .307 .365
2021Home 1.305 26 6 4 7 0 .360 .385 .920
2021Away .750 12 1 1 2 1 .250 .250 .500
2020Home .818 97 13 6 18 0 .244 .330 .488
2020Away .638 92 10 3 8 0 .195 .272 .366
2019Home .863 284 42 18 53 3 .270 .335 .529
2019Away .680 255 28 6 30 2 .226 .323 .357
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Stat Review
How does Ryan McMahon compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.17
 
BB Rate
2.6%
 
K Rate
15.8%
 
BABIP
.269
 
ISO
.459
 
AVG
.324
 
OBP
.342
 
SLG
.784
 
OPS
1.126
 
wOBA
.478
 
Exit Velocity
85.0 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
48.4%
 
Barrels/PA
13.2%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Ryan McMahon
NL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
2 days ago
Jan Levine is back and lists a number of players to target, including a veteran starter in San Francisco who's excelling.
The Z Files: The Fallacy of Stabilization and an Early Look at Home Runs
3 days ago
Todd Zola offers some thoughts on early-season trends, including the home run surge led by Nick Castellanos and the Reds.
MLB FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
5 days ago
Jason Shebilske analyzes the top waiver-wire options for the week, including Ryan McMahon, who should get regular at-bats for the Rockies.
DraftKings MLB: Thursday Breakdown
5 days ago
Mike Barner previews Thursday’s DraftKings slate, recommending a Rockies stack against Arizona.
Bernie on the Scene: AL Central Analysis & Predictions
8 days ago
Bernie Pleskoff analyzes each team in the AL Central with grades for each player and predictions for the division. Can the Twins overtake the White Sox?
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
McMahon finally got regular playing time in 2019, but it took him until the second half of the season to make the most of it. A .256/.332/.399 first-half slash line gave way to a .244/.326/.500 slash line after the break, and he hit 17 of his 24 homers after the intermission. Can anyone explain his 41% HR/FB in the second half despite his flyball rate declining from the first half? Us neither. There is still a lot of noise in this stat line, but both his average exit velocity and his hard-hit rate were in the 90th percentile last season. The strikeout rate remains rather high, which should temper expectations for him because Coors Field or not, it is tough for anyone to hit for average while striking out 30% of the time. McMahon missed qualifying at three positions by one game in 2019, if you play in the standard 20-game rule format. If you use 10 or 15, enjoy his 1B/2B/3B eligibility.
An impressive camp landed McMahon on the Opening Day roster, playing first base against right-handed pitching. After slashing .180/.317/.200 through April 30, McMahon was farmed to Triple-A Albuquerque. He was recalled May 25 to help fill in at second. After a hot start, McMahon fell back to his unproductive ways and was demoted again June 20. He returned in late July, finishing the season in a reserve role. McMahon slashed .256/.333/.419 over the second half, buoyed by a 1.076 OPS at home. Contact was McMahon's primary shortcoming as he fanned at a 31.7% clip. Entering 2018, it appeared McMahon had made strides in that department. Plus, a 29.9% flyball rate hindered power. Still just 24 years old, McMahon has time to get back on track and tap into the home-run potential he showed in the minors. There's playing time to be had on the right side of the infield, at least versus RHP.
It's clear now that 2016 -- a year where McMahon was a league average hitter (101 wRC+) on a Hartford Yard Goats team that had to play all their games on the road -- was the outlier. He has been at least 37 percent better than league average during every other minor-league stint, and was dominant at Double-A and Triple-A in 2017. One could point to good fortune (.381 BABIP at Double-A, .416 BABIP at Triple-A) as the reason for this dominance. However, he got his strikeout rate under 20 percent for the first time in his career, which points to sustainable success. He has plus power, sneaky speed for a corner infielder, and with the help of Coors Field, he could annually flirt with .300. While McMahon is a third baseman by trade, he started 33 games at first base, 23 games at second base and 13 games at the hot corner while at Triple-A. The Rockies are prepping him for an inevitable position change due to Nolan Arenado's presence. He could serve as the big-league first baseman for the bulk of 2018.
McMahon entered the season as a consensus top-50 prospect, and he proceeded to post career-worst full-season numbers in every relevant offensive category other than walk rate (10.3 percent) and steals (11 on 17 attempts). The decline in production coincides with him moving to a neutral hitting environment after taking advantage of the extremely hitter-friendly parks in Low-A Asheville and High-A Modesto during the two previous seasons. McMahon played half his games at first base last year, which sheds some light on the Rockies' long-term plans, as he is blocked at third base by Nolan Arenado. He was essentially a league average hitter in the Eastern League (101 wRC+) while being over three years younger than league average, which would be more encouraging if he still projected to end up on the left side of the infield. Additionally, his 30.1 percent strikeout rate raises concerns about the viability of his hit tool against upper-level pitching.
Since being drafted 42nd overall in 2013, McMahon has done nothing but tear the cover off the ball. He spent all of 2015 at High-A Modesto and for the third straight year the slugging third baseman hit better than .280, with an OBP over .350, a slugging percentage north of .500 and an ISO of at least .220. It is worth noting that in 2014 he spent the entire season with Low-A Asheville, which along with Modesto is one of the most favorable hitting environments in the minors, so his numbers should not be taken entirely at face value. That said, he will begin his age-21 season at Double-A, coming off back-to-back 18-homer seasons, so McMahon is undeniably advanced with the bat. He might be just two years away from being big league ready, at which point the Rockies may need to consider moving McMahon to first base, where the bat should still be able to play, that is if Nolan Arenado is the long-term option at the hot corner.
McMahon was the toast of the Sally League last April, homering nine times in the month and looking every bit the part of the advanced left-handed hitter with pop the Rockies believed they netted when they drafted him in 2013. His slugging tailed off to more modest levels after that, but McMahon still enjoyed a successful campaign, finishing with a .282/.358/.502 line over his 552 plate appearances. While he still struggles with making contact (25.9 K%) and noticed a fairly significant gulf in both his home/road and lefty/righty splits, McMahon was a year or more younger than most of his compatriots at Low-A and made up for the high strikeout totals by posting a quality 9.8% walk rate. Nolan Arenado looks to be the Rockies’ long-term answer at third base, but McMahon will likely remain at the position again at High-A Modesto this season before perhaps moving to a corner outfield spot if and when his well-rounded offensive skills warrant a promotion to the upper levels of the minors.
More Fantasy News
Enjoys three-homer night
2BColorado Rockies
April 7, 2021
McMahon went 4-for-6 with three home runs, a double, three total runs scored and four total RBI in an extra-innings loss to Arizona on Tuesday.
ANALYSIS
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Goes yard Friday
2BColorado Rockies
April 3, 2021
McMahon went 2-for-4 with a two-run home run in Friday's 11-6 loss to the Dodgers.
ANALYSIS
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Not starting Thursday
2BColorado Rockies
April 1, 2021
McMahon isn't starting Thursday's game against the Dodgers.
ANALYSIS
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Records three hits in win
2BColorado Rockies
March 23, 2021
McMahon went 3-for-3 with a solo home run in Monday's spring win over the Rangers.
ANALYSIS
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Homers against San Diego
2BColorado Rockies
March 10, 2021
McMahon went 1-for-3 with a solo home run and one strikeout in Wednesday's spring win over the Padres.
ANALYSIS
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