Ke'Bryan Hayes

Ke'Bryan Hayes

24-Year-Old Third Baseman3B
Pittsburgh Pirates
10-Day IL
Injury Wrist
Est. Return 2/1/2022
2021 Fantasy Outlook
With hitting prospects, there is a difference between "hasn't hit for impact power" and "won't hit for impact power." Thanks to a strong hit tool and the fact most of the full-season environments he played in were pitcher-friendly parks, Hayes always fit in the first group. He exceeded even the most optimistic expectations as a rookie. A .450 BABIP obviously propped up his stats to some degree, but his 9.2% barrel rate would have ranked 22nd among qualified hitters, ahead of Mike Trout, Luke Voit and Nelson Cruz, so his performance was more skill than luck. He was successful on his lone steal attempt in 24 games, but with a 79th percentile sprint speed and 25-for-31 success rate in 230 MiLB games from 2018-19, Hayes is a sneaky threat to steal double-digit bases this year. Gold Glove caliber defense at third base ensures everyday playing time, and he should reprise his role as the Pirates No. 2 hitter. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#135
ADP
$Signed a $1.86 million contract with the Pirates in June of 2015.
On road to recovery
3BPittsburgh Pirates
Wrist
October 6, 2021
Hayes (wrist) met with one hand specialist Monday and expects to meet with a second one when he returns homes to Texas, DK Pittsburgh Sports reports.
ANALYSIS
The rookie played through a cyst on his left hand that likely contributed to recurring wrist and hand soreness. General manager Ben Cherington believes that Hayes will be 100 percent healthy before spring training. "Every piece of information we have right now leads to us being very optimistic his recovery, about this not being something that gets in the way of an offseason, certainly not into spring training or next year," the general manager noted. Hayes slashed .257/.316/.373 with six homers and nine stolen bases in 396 plate appearances.
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Batting Stats
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2021
2020
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2020 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
12
40
1
1
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
6
29
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2019
 
 
+21%
OPS vs LHP
2021
 
 
+11%
OPS vs LHP
2020
 
 
+62%
OPS vs LHP
2019
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2019vs Left .844 142 23 2 15 1 .318 .359 .485
Since 2019vs Right .698 331 37 7 32 9 .251 .320 .378
2021vs Left .739 120 18 1 12 0 .279 .325 .414
2021vs Right .666 276 31 5 26 9 .247 .312 .355
2020vs Left 1.403 22 5 1 3 1 .524 .545 .857
2020vs Right .864 55 6 2 6 0 .271 .364 .500
2019vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2019
 
 
+28%
OPS at Home
2021
 
 
+19%
OPS at Home
2020
 
 
+45%
OPS at Home
2019
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2019Home .824 259 36 5 25 6 .299 .363 .462
Since 2019Away .642 218 26 5 22 4 .234 .289 .353
2021Home .748 201 25 2 18 6 .284 .343 .404
2021Away .628 195 24 4 20 3 .229 .287 .341
2020Home 1.098 58 11 3 7 0 .353 .431 .667
2020Away .759 23 2 1 2 1 .273 .304 .455
2019Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Ke'Bryan Hayes compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.36
 
BB Rate
7.8%
 
K Rate
22.0%
 
BABIP
.321
 
ISO
.116
 
AVG
.257
 
OBP
.316
 
SLG
.373
 
OPS
.689
 
wOBA
.306
 
Exit Velocity
84.2 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
36.1%
 
Barrels/PA
3.8%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Ke'Bryan Hayes
MLB Barometer: End of Season Risers and Fallers
29 days ago
In his last Barometer of the season, Erik Halterman looks at players whose finish in earned auction value diverged most from their preseason draft position, starting with Jose Ramirez.
DraftKings MLB: Sunday Breakdown
44 days ago
Despite a poor start to the year, Chris Morgan figures Max Fried will continue on his recent hot run at home versus the Marlins.
Fantasy Baseball Injury Report: Pollock Suffers Hamstring Strain
49 days ago
Jeff Stotts cautions injury management will be challenging over the final days of the season, with the hamstring strain suffered by AJ Pollock potentially having a large impact with its limited time to heal.
NL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
51 days ago
September call-ups are here and Jan Levine chooses the best of the bunch while also detailing which lower-covered players have recently done well.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
Hayes is a 70-grade defender at third base, has a career 16.8 K% and is an above-average runner who turned 23 this offseason after spending all of 2019 at Triple-A, so there are a lot of positives in his profile. His inability thus far to really impact the baseball is the elephant in the room. He uses the whole field, but his 46.4 GB% would have ranked in the bottom 25% among qualified big leaguers and his 25.5 Hard% is underwhelming for a corner infielder playing with the juiced ball at Triple-A. A modest swing change could unlock another level, and with a new front office in Pittsburgh, it is reasonable to anticipate some player-development improvements. His defense and plate skills will get him an everyday role even if he doesn't unlock more pop, and he could probably go 15/15 as is. If he gets off to a good start, we should see him in the first half.
There are subtleties in Hayes' profile that make him a valuable fantasy commodity, but that are lost on many, which may make him the most underrated player in the prospect universe. He had just eight career homers in 231 games prior to reaching Double-A, then quietly had a power breakout last year that was muted by the extreme pitcher-friendly conditions in Altoona. He finished fourth in the Eastern League with 31 doubles and notched his best full-season ISO (.151) and SLG (.444) figures. His patience (11.2 BB%), bat-to-ball ability (16.5 K%) and all-fields approach (38.8 Pull%, 32.2 Oppo%) portend a plus hit tool and he has the speed to steal 15-to-20 bases annually. He is also a gold-glove caliber defender at third base, so playing time won't be an issue. This is the type of player who blows past his power estimates on minor-league scouting reports and leaves analysts scratching their heads. Given the Pirates' track record, he may be kept down until 2020.
While he does a lot of things well, Hayes has yet to hit for the type of power we associate with quality third base prospects. He is an above-average runner and went 27-for-32 on stolen-base attempts last year. Hayes is also a high-caliber defensive third baseman, so there is no concern about his glove forcing a move. His 15.8 percent strikeout rate was the best mark in the Florida State League among hitters under 22, which not only demonstrates his contact skills, but suggests he has room to make adjustments that could unlock power without compromising his ability to hit for a high average. Additionally, he has a true all-fields approach (36.6 percent to the pull side, 38 percent to the opposite field), so the only thing lacking is that aforementioned power. At 21, he will be one of the youngest hitters at Double-A, so there is still time for him to become a well-rounded hitter, and he has the size (6-foot-1, 210 pounds) to unlock that power with more upper-level instruction.
Hayes got off to a hot start in 2016, hitting .343/.368/.457 in April for Low-A West Virginia. He batted only .236/.305/.374 in 205 plate appearances the rest of the way, but back and rib injuries may have contributed to his woes. The third baseman hasn't shown much power -- he's totaled six homers in two seasons (123 games). However, at 6-foot-1, 210 pounds, he projects to grow into 20-plus homer power down the road to accompany what could be an above-average hit tool. Hayes, who turned 20 in January, remains several seasons away from potentially making an impact in the majors. He will likely spend most of 2017 at High-A Bradenton in the pitcher-friendly Florida State League, where he will be tasked with showcasing a more patient approach while driving the ball to all fields.
The son of former major leaguer Charlie Hayes, Pittsburgh took the third baseman with the 32nd pick of the 2015 draft. He did well enough in the Gulf Coast League (.333/.434/.375) to earn a two-week promotion to the New York-Penn League. Though he failed to homer, the 19-year-old is expected to offer some power. He will begin 2016 back in the NYPL this summer or at Low-A West Virginia if the Bucs want to push him to a full-season affiliate for Opening Day. Fantasy owners will want to keep tabs on Hayes as he offers a strong batting average with potential for more, but he should be considered a long-term investment in dynasty formats.
More Fantasy News
Placed on 10-day injured list
3BPittsburgh Pirates
Wrist
September 29, 2021
Hayes was placed on the 10-day injured list with left wrist soreness Wednesday, Jake Crouse of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Not starting Tuesday
3BPittsburgh Pirates
September 28, 2021
Hayes isn't starting Tuesday's game against the Cubs.
ANALYSIS
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Makes impact off bench
3BPittsburgh Pirates
September 26, 2021
Hayes went 2-for-2 with a double, two RBI and a run scored in Sunday's 6-0 win over Philadelphia.
ANALYSIS
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Receives Sunday off
3BPittsburgh Pirates
September 26, 2021
Hayes is out of the lineup Sunday versus the Phillies.
ANALYSIS
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Notches ninth steal
3BPittsburgh Pirates
September 24, 2021
Hayes went 1-for-5 with a stolen base in Friday's 8-6 loss to Philadelphia.
ANALYSIS
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