Juan Soto

Juan Soto

23-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Washington Nationals
2021 Fantasy Outlook
Already a fantasy first-rounder before his 22nd birthday, Soto's 2020 exploits cemented him as a top-five pick, just a handful of steals away from No. 1 overall consideration. His biggest fans will take him there regardless. Soto's .351/.490/.695 slash line is even more remarkable considering he had a positive COVID-19 test the last week of summer camp and missed the first eight games of the season, catching a break that some of the Nationals' schedule was postponed in early August. The scary thing is Soto's production is fully supported by most Statcast metrics falling 90th percentile and higher. The exception is sprint speed, but he's a heady runner so maintaining double-digit steals is plausible. With an advanced eye, Soto is even better for OBP and points leagues, though some of his walk rate emanated from the Barry Bonds treatment in September. Even with batted-ball regression, Soto is a Triple Crown candidate. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
$Signed a one-year, $8.5 million contract with the Nationals in January of 2021.
Walk streak comes to end
OFWashington Nationals
September 29, 2021
Soto went 0-for-4 with a strikeout Tuesday in the Nationals' 3-1 loss to the Rockies.
ANALYSIS
Soto failed to reach base for the first time since Sept. 13, ending a streak of 14 consecutive games. The star outfielder walked at least once in each of the past eight contests, drawing free passes at an absurd 37.5 percent clip. For the season, Soto is maintaining a 22.1 percent walk rate, which has allowed him to lead MLB in on-base average (.468) by a wide margin. He'll look to pad his lead in Wednesday's series finale in Colorado, where he'll be starting in right field and batting third for Washington.
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Batting Stats
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2021
2020
2019
2018
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
22
77
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
7
39
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2019
 
 
+16%
OPS vs RHP
2021
 
 
+23%
OPS vs RHP
2020
 
 
+6%
OPS vs LHP
2019
 
 
+18%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2019vs Left .903 515 78 21 84 4 .291 .392 .510
Since 2019vs Right 1.048 981 180 54 157 22 .309 .463 .586
2021vs Left .875 238 36 10 35 0 .280 .403 .472
2021vs Right 1.073 416 75 19 60 9 .333 .500 .573
2020vs Left 1.209 56 14 5 16 1 .360 .429 .780
2020vs Right 1.136 127 23 7 20 4 .337 .504 .632
2019vs Left .850 221 28 6 33 3 .285 .371 .478
2019vs Right 1.000 438 82 28 77 9 .281 .416 .584
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2019
 
 
+3%
OPS on Road
2021
 
 
+20%
OPS on Road
2020
 
 
+5%
OPS on Road
2019
 
 
+16%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2019Home .987 745 112 32 119 20 .304 .436 .551
Since 2019Away 1.013 762 148 44 123 7 .302 .442 .570
2021Home .907 318 48 10 40 6 .291 .443 .463
2021Away 1.086 336 63 19 55 3 .333 .485 .601
2020Home 1.143 94 15 4 14 5 .324 .511 .632
2020Away 1.201 100 24 9 23 1 .365 .460 .741
2019Home 1.016 333 49 18 65 9 .311 .408 .607
2019Away .877 326 61 16 45 3 .252 .393 .485
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Stat Review
How does Juan Soto compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
1.56
 
BB Rate
22.2%
 
K Rate
14.2%
 
BABIP
.332
 
ISO
.221
 
AVG
.313
 
OBP
.465
 
SLG
.534
 
OPS
.999
 
wOBA
.427
 
Exit Velocity
86.1 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
39.1%
 
Barrels/PA
8.8%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Juan Soto
DraftKings MLB: Tuesday Breakdown
28 days ago
Mike Barner's Tuesday DraftKings recommendations center around Nats slugger Juan Soto, who's playing in the hitter-friendly confines of Coors Field against the Rockies.
FanDuel MLB: Tuesday Targets
28 days ago
Chris Bennett looks over Tuesday's slate as Walker Buehler attempts to return to form before the playoffs in a home start against the Padres.
MLB Barometer: End of Season Risers and Fallers
29 days ago
In his last Barometer of the season, Erik Halterman looks at players whose finish in earned auction value diverged most from their preseason draft position, starting with Jose Ramirez.
MLB Betting: September Futures Update
29 days ago
Michael Rathburn checks in on the futures market with the regular season coming to an end and the postseason looming. Can Max Scherzer's dominant run with the Dodgers bank him another Cy Young?
FanDuel MLB: Monday Targets
29 days ago
On the final regular-season MLB Monday, Chris Morgan offers his picks of the day, including Jose Ramirez, who has 36 home runs and 26 stolen bases this season.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
2018
2017
Given what we saw from Soto at ages 19 and 20, it seems reasonable to say a Hall of Fame foundation is being laid. Soto was a top-12 rate contributor in the game by wRC+ in 2019, and he continued to shine on the biggest stage with a .277/.373/.554 line and five homers in the postseason. His K% and BB% were nearly identical to his marks from 2018 at 20.0% and 16.4%, respectively, and his xSLG, xwOBA and xwOBA on contact all ranked within the top 5% of the league. Soto also chipped in 12 steals in just 13 attempts. With that, he finished as the No. 13 roto hitter despite making a trip to the IL in May with back spasms. This profile is truly special and there aren't really any holes in his game. Not having Anthony Rendon ahead of him to drive in may hurt Soto's RBI count and we should probably expect a return to single-digit steals, but regardless the bat is good enough to warrant a first-round pick.
Simply put, Soto had one of the best seasons for a teenager of all time. His talent has never been in question, but the fact he even made his debut in 2018 came as a huge surprise considering he opened the year at Low-A. Soto arrived in the majors May 20 and made an immediate impact, homering in his first career start. He never looked back after that, posting a stellar .923 OPS and missing out on the Rookie of the Year award only because of an equally impressive season from Ronald Acuna. Among MLB hitters with at least 450 PA, Soto ranked sixth in BB% (16.0), 10th in wRC+ (146) and 12th in BB/K (0.80). Again, he was 19 when he did this. He handled righties (152 wRC+) and lefties (128 wRC+) just fine, so don't worry about a platoon. The loss of Bryce Harper may cost him some RBI and runs, but it also likely locks him in as the cleanup hitter indefinitely.
A fractured right ankle, hamate bone surgery and hamstring strain combined to limit one of the game's most exciting young prospects to just 32 games in 2017. That didn't stop him from reminding dynasty-league owners of his extreme upside when he was on the field. Soto's 172 wRC+ ranked third among Sally League hitters with at least 80 plate appearances. He walked more than he struck out, despite being the third youngest hitter to spend the majority of his season in that league. In addition to an elite approach and hit tool, Soto projects to provide 30-plus homer power in his prime seasons, but he won't generate much value with his legs. Given how advanced his bat is, it would not be surprising if he were aggressively assigned to the Carolina League after just 23 games at Low-A. The ankle and hamate injuries seem flukey, so while it's obviously concerning that he couldn't stay healthy in his first full season, it would be a mistake to discount him too much. All the tools are here for Soto to finish the season as a top-five prospect.
While he has not yet played above short-season ball, Soto made too much noise with his bat last year to qualify as an under-the-radar target in dynasty league drafts. He was seen as an advanced hitter with above-average power potential when the Nationals signed him out of the Dominican Republic for $1.5 million in 2015. So far, Soto has delivered on that promise and then some. He slashed .368/.420/.553 with five home runs, five steals and a 29:17 K:BB in 51 games across stops in the Gulf Coast and New York-Penn leagues, all before turning 18. It is quite rare for a player with the potential for plus power to be showing off an excellent approach and a plus hit tool against professional pitching at an age when most players are between their junior and senior years of high school. Soto should be valued similarly to the top prospects from the 2016 draft class and could follow the same aggressive promotion pattern as organizational mate Victor Robles.
More Fantasy News
Homers twice in win
OFWashington Nationals
September 23, 2021
Soto went 3-for-3 with two solo home runs and a walk in Thursday's 3-2 win over the Reds.
ANALYSIS
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Homers, extends hitting streak
OFWashington Nationals
September 22, 2021
Soto went 3-for-3 with a home run and three RBI in Wednesday's 7-5 win over the Marlins. He also drew a pair of walks.
ANALYSIS
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Provides two hits, walk in win
OFWashington Nationals
September 22, 2021
Soto went 2-for-4 with a double, a walk and an RBI on Tuesday in the Nationals' 7-1 win over the Marlins.
ANALYSIS
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Crushes solo shot in win
OFWashington Nationals
September 19, 2021
Soto went 1-for-4 with a solo home run in Sunday's 3-0 win over Colorado.
ANALYSIS
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On base four times in win
OFWashington Nationals
September 13, 2021
Soto went 2-for-4 with a triple, double, two walks and a run Sunday in the Nationals' 6-1 win over the Pirates.
ANALYSIS
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