Lourdes Gurriel

Lourdes Gurriel

28-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Toronto Blue Jays
2021 Fantasy Outlook
Year 3 for Gurriel saw another step forward, offensively. He cut down on his chase rate and shaved his strikeout rate to 21.4%. Gurriel ranked in the top 10% of the league in hard-hit rate. Like his brother, Lourdes is an aggressive hitter who is not particularly interested in taking walks. That dings him a bit in OBP leagues, but there's a lot to like here regardless. Gurriel will hit for power and also swipe a few bags although his sprint speed is below league average, so any major growth in that department seems unlikely. He has handled same-handed pitching quite well in his career (.281/.325/.480 vs. RHP) and it's hard to see him being a negative in the BA category even if there's significant giveback. Absent from 2020 were the injury woes of seasons past, aside from a side issue which cost Gurriel the Opening Day start. If he's ever going to stay healthy and turn into a fantasy star, this is the year. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#89
ADP
$Signed a seven-year, $22 million contract with the Blue Jays in November of 2016.
Returns to lineup
OFToronto Blue Jays
October 2, 2021
Gurriel (hand) is starting Saturday's game against the Orioles.
ANALYSIS
Gurriel sat out the last two games due to hand soreness, but he'll serve as the designated hitter in Saturday's matchup. Manager Charlie Montoyo said the 27-year-old will participate in batting practice to make sure he's ready to start, but it appears as though Gurriel will return following his two-game absence.
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Batting Stats
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2021
2020
2019
2018
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
3
36
44
15
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
5
21
10
2
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2019
Even Split
2021
 
 
+8%
OPS vs RHP
2020
 
 
+26%
OPS vs RHP
2019
 
 
+24%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2019vs Left .824 336 49 18 52 1 .276 .310 .514
Since 2019vs Right .820 768 90 33 113 9 .282 .332 .488
2021vs Left .743 156 19 5 23 0 .269 .301 .441
2021vs Right .802 385 43 16 61 1 .279 .326 .476
2020vs Left .709 65 6 2 9 0 .250 .292 .417
2020vs Right .890 155 19 8 22 3 .313 .355 .535
2019vs Left .994 115 24 11 20 1 .300 .330 .664
2019vs Right .801 228 28 9 30 5 .265 .326 .475
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2019
 
 
+6%
OPS on Road
2021
 
 
+4%
OPS on Road
2020
 
 
+66%
OPS on Road
2019
 
 
+20%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2019Home .794 507 62 22 75 4 .270 .318 .477
Since 2019Away .844 597 77 29 90 6 .288 .331 .513
2021Home .768 270 29 10 43 0 .276 .311 .457
2021Away .802 271 33 11 41 1 .276 .326 .476
2020Home .598 87 7 2 11 3 .210 .264 .333
2020Away .993 133 18 8 20 0 .350 .383 .610
2019Home .960 150 26 10 21 1 .296 .360 .600
2019Away .799 193 26 10 29 5 .263 .302 .497
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Stat Review
How does Lourdes Gurriel compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.31
 
BB Rate
5.9%
 
K Rate
18.9%
 
BABIP
.305
 
ISO
.190
 
AVG
.276
 
OBP
.319
 
SLG
.466
 
OPS
.785
 
wOBA
.340
 
Exit Velocity
82.8 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
33.6%
 
Barrels/PA
7.5%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Lourdes Gurriel
Fantasy Baseball Injury Report: Giants’ Lose First Baseman
26 days ago
In his final MLB column of the year, Jeff Stotts looks at injuries that will impact the last regular-season week of the year, starting with Brandon Belt who will miss time with a broken thumb.
DraftKings MLB: Friday Breakdown
37 days ago
Zack Wheeler has been locked in for most of the season and should have a good game against the Mets.
FanDuel MLB: Sunday Targets
63 days ago
Chris Morgan likes what Adam Wainwright has been able to achieve and will gladly recommend him against the Pirates.
The Z Files: My Top 350 Rest-of-Season Hitters
74 days ago
Todd Zola offers up his hitter rankings for the rest of the season, as scheduling and a stacked lineup makes Bo Bichette one of a trio of Blue Jays in the top 10.
Bernie on the Scene: Trade Deadline Edition
90 days ago
Bernie Pleskoff looks at players who could be moved at the trade deadline. Will the Mariners trade Mitch Haniger?
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
2018
2017
In a Blue Jays offense ripe with young talent, Gurriel could tend to be overshadowed, though he put together a respectable season of his own. The 26-year-old was sent to Triple-A in mid-April after sputtering to start the year, but managed to turn things around once he returned, hitting .292/.339/.580 after his recall to the majors May 24 (71 games). He battled through knee and quad injuries before being shut down due to appendicitis in late September, after lower-body issues cut short his 2018 season. Gurriel has room for improvement in his walk rate (5.8%) and strikeout rate (25.1%), but he makes the most of his limited contact with a 43.5% hard-hit rate. Gurriel is OF-only in most leagues, and it could very well remain that way since he was not a good defender in the infield. Regardless, Gurriel could be a mid-round value thanks to his batting average and power potential.
In his first taste of the majors, Gurriel hit .281 and flashed some pop. At one point in July, he had an 11-game multi-hit streak, during which he batted an even .500 (25-for-50). It was the longest such streak by a rookie in major-league history. A pair of lower-body injuries derailed his season, and the "expected" numbers from Statcast suggest he overachieved a bit, but he rarely made soft contact and Gurriel showed an ability to go to the opposite field. Much like his brother, Lourdes rarely takes a walk (3.4%). He also proved to be a liability at shortstop, but he was passable at second base and there's little doubt that the rebuilding Blue Jays will give Gurriel regular at-bats in 2019 to evaluate his future in the organization. Batting average is tough to find outside the first several rounds of a draft, and Gurriel showed enough in that department as a 24-year-old to warrant a flier in most formats.
A chiseled 6-foot-2, 185 pounds, Gurriel definitely looks the part of a quality prospect, but he has been a flop thus far since signing a seven-year, $22 million deal with the Blue Jays last offseason. Gurriel suffered a hamstring injury in his first pro game, which cost him two months, and he scuffled at High-A and Double-A after returning. The one bright spot from his first pro season was the .291/.309/.494 slash line he posted in 79 at-bats in the Arizona Fall League. He walked just once over that span, but at least he flashed the potential to do some damage with the bat, hitting seven doubles and three home runs. Gurriel split time between second base and shortstop in his first season, but he doesn't have the range for shortstop, and fits better at second or third base. He turned 24 this offseason, so the clock is ticking for him to prove he can be more than a utility player in the big leagues.
The younger, less-accomplished brother of Yulieski Gurriel, Lourdes signed a seven-year, $22 million deal with the Blue Jays this offseason. He waited until he turned 23 in October to sign the deal so he would not be subject to international bonus pools. Often the best gauge of a Cuban or Asian talent is the open market price tag, and for Gurriel's prime years to come at a $3.14 million average annual value is a red flag. The general consensus pegs him as roughly average with his hit, power and speed tools, with the hit and power potentially being fringe average. He will likely begin 2017 at Double-A where he will play shortstop until he proves he can't handle the position. Most evaluators expect him to end up at second, third or left field. The sum of the tools might be a utility player that is more valuable in real life than fantasy. He could overshoot that projection, particularly if his hit tool is better than the market thought, but the upside does not appear to match the name value.
More Fantasy News
Remains on bench
OFToronto Blue Jays
Hand
October 1, 2021
Gurriel (hand) will remain sidelined for Friday's game against Baltimore.
ANALYSIS
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Managing hand soreness
OFToronto Blue Jays
Hand
September 30, 2021
Gurriel isn't in Thursday's lineup against the Yankees due to hand soreness, Ben Nicholson-Smith of Sportsnet.ca reports.
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Riding pine Thursday
OFToronto Blue Jays
September 30, 2021
Gurriel isn't starting Thursday's game against the Yankees.
ANALYSIS
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Returns as designated hitter
OFToronto Blue Jays
September 28, 2021
Gurriel (hand) will bat sixth and serve as the designated hitter in Tuesday's game against the Yankees.
ANALYSIS
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Out again Sunday
OFToronto Blue Jays
Hand
September 26, 2021
Gurriel (hand) is not in the lineup for Sunday's game against the Twins.
ANALYSIS
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