FanDuel NBA: Wednesday Value Plays

FanDuel NBA: Wednesday Value Plays

This article is part of our FanDuel NBA series.

Wednesday's nine-game slate kicks off at 7:00 p.m. ET and features Kevin Durant's return, along with some other interesting matchups.

SLATE OVERVIEW

(Odds are best available US odds and are subject to change)

Games to Target in BOLD

Games to Fade in ITALIC

MIN @ IND (-3.5) O/U: 227.5

WAS @ ORL (+3.5) O/U: 224.5

NYK @ BOS (-3.5) O/U: 214.5

NOR @ BKN (-10.5) O/U: 231

MEM @ ATL (-3) O/U: 228

DAL @ HOU (+11.5) O/U: 225

CHA @ OKC (+5) O/U: 214

SAS @ DEN (-6) O/U: 223.5

UTA @ PHO (+2 ) O/U: 225.5

We didn't give the Suns much love in this article, but I strongly recommend them as a late-swap tool if things aren't going your way early in the slate. They should be a source of unique, pivotable value that could turn the tide for you in cash games.

INJURIES

MIN D'Angelo Russell (knee) - PROBABLE

MIN Malik Beasley (hamstring) - OUT

Beasley's injury will keep him out of action for April, so this is the last time we'll mention him for a while when touching on the Timberwolves.  The obvious story here is Russell's return. He will remain on a minute restriction, but in his second game back, he'll cut into time for Ricky Rubio and, to some degree, Anthony Edwards.

IND Domantas Sabonis (ankle) - QUESTIONABLE

IND Malcolm Brogdon (hip) - QUESTIONABLE

IND Myles Turner (ankle) - QUESTIONABLE

This trio is listed from most likely to least likely to return for Wednesday's game. Thankfully, this game is relatively early in the day, so there should be news before contests lock. Sabonis would be a decent play if he is in and Turner is out, and the opposite is also true, although Turner's return is pretty remote. Caris LeVert ($8,500) is really the only guy worth mentioning in this scenario if all three of these playmakers are out. Of the subs, Edmond Sumner ($4,000) would probably be the most effective in Brogdon's place.

WAS Bradley Beal (hip) - QUESTIONABLE

WAS Rui Hachimura (shoulder) - QUESTIONABLE

We'll discuss Beal in a moment, but assuming that Hachimura is out, Deni Avdija ($4,300) is the best pivot.

ORL Michael Carter-Williams (illness) - QUESTIONABLE

ORL Cole Anthony (ribs) - QUESTIONABLE

ORL Otto Porter (foot) - OUT

ORL Khem Birch (illness) - QUESTIONABLE

The only pivot we need to concern ourselves with is at point guard. It looks like the R.J. Hampton ($4,800) experiment paid off for Orlando in his first start, as he logged 16 points in 33 minutes of play. This should leapfrog him over Chasson Randle.

NOR Brandon Ingram (toe) - QUESTIONABLE

NOR Nickeil Alexander-Walker (ankle) - OUT

NOR Josh Hart (thumb) - OUT

You'll likely see a lineup adjustment for James Johnson ($6,400) to relieve Ingram. Although his salary has skyrocketed, he's shown an ability to get things done when injury hits the frontcourt. There will be some mention of the remaining Pelicans later in the article.

BKN James Harden (hamstring) - OUT

BKN Kevin Durant (hamstring) - PROBABLE

At long last, Durant should make his return tonight, and Harden will take his place as the long-term absentee. The power trio has obviously read Saquon Barkley's new book, 'How to Blow Up A Fantasy Roster' because the number of games where all three of these stars have appeared together is scant.  We'll elaborate on this spot in the Elite Section, but if there's a minute restriction on Durant, I still like Jeff Green ($5,400) as a decent pivot at the four.

MEM Ja Morant (back) - QUESTIONABLE

MEM Brandon Clarke (calf) - QUESTIONABLE

MEM De'Anthony Melton (leg) - OUT

The point guard duties should fall to Tyus Jones ($4,300) if Morant can't go. Otherwise, I'd expect the remaining starters to absorb a lot of Morant and Clarke's output.

ATL John Collins (ankle) - OUT

Collins' absence has remained good news for Clint Capela ($10,400), but his FanDuel salary has gotten slightly out of hand. Bogdan Bogdanovic ($7,200) is a cheaper way to get involved in this injury scenario.

HOU John Wall (knee) - QUESTIONABLE

Kevin Porter ($6.600) would start again if Wall is out, and if Wall plays, Porter would likely shift to the two and cut into Avery Bradley's ($4,400) time, who made an appearance in the starting lineup against the Suns.

CHA Gordon Hayward (foot) - OUT

CHA Malik Monk (ankle) - OUT

It's a tough break for the Hornets, who've lost two major playmakers in a matter of days. Expect Miles Bridges ($5,800) to step up in Hayward's absence, while Brad Wanamaker ($4,500) will rise in the rotation with Monk sidelined.

OKC Shai Gilgeous-Alexander - OUT

OKC  Darius Bazley (shoulder) - OUT

OKC Isaiah Roby (concussion) - OUT

OKC Luguentz Dort (concussion)- OUT

No real change in the injury situation here. This isn't a team to target tonight but refer to the starting lineup for contrarian value if you're feeling lucky.

SAS Dejounte Murray (foot) - QUESTIONABLE

If Murray can't go, expect Patty Mills ($3,900) to be worked into the rotation while Derrick White ($5,700) continues work in the backcourt.

DEN Jamal Murray (leg) - QUESTIONABLE

This is a tough pivot, as both Monte Morris ($3,800) and Facundo Campazzo ($3,800) would share time at the position if Murray misses the game.  One of them is worth a flier, but it may be best to avoid the situation altogether.

ELITE PLAYERS

We have six players at $10K or above tonight. Karl-Anthony Towns ($11,400) holds the highest salary. Though he's in a great spot against a compromised Indiana frontcourt, I don't think he's as necessary when you look at the assortment of centers available tonight. Russell Westbrook ($11,000) remains heavily in play as a triple-double candidate, but you'd have to downgrade him if Bradley Beal ($8,300) somehow returned to action. Kyrie Irving ($10,400) would still be fine despite Kevin Durant's return, but I think it's Luka Doncic ($10,300) who rises to the top of this five-digit grouping.  He's in a great spot against the Rockets, and his recent floor has been rock-solid. As usual, Nikola Jokic ($10,200) can't be ignored, and while he's definitely more affordable than Towns, the center position might be better as a value spot in tonight's builds. I have no problem building around him in some lineups, however.

In the 9k range, Zion Williamson ($9,700) appears to be the best man to target as they face the Nets in a potentially speedy matchup. Additionally, Julius Randle ($9,400) stands out after coming off his fifth triple-double of the season. His size and aggressiveness should cause problems for Boston.

EXPECTED CHALK

Trae Young, ATL ($8,200) vs. MEM

Young went off for 36 points the last time these two teams met, and he stands to be in an even better spot if Ja Morant sits. Although Young's reduced salary results from some variance-ridden output, he's in a good spot to post a big number tonight.

Lonzo Ball, NOR ($7,800) @ BKN

The potential absence of Brandon Ingram puts every Pelicans starter on notice, and Ball is no exception. Although his production algorithm doesn't align with Ingram's, he'll be called upon to get the ball to whoever is hot, including himself. His adept scoring, ball-handling and recent production make him a chalky guard to target tonight.

Christian Wood, HOU ($7,700) vs. DAL

Although Kristaps Porzingis should be back on the court tonight, Wood consistently leads the frontcourt for Houston and logs significant minutes regardless of the outcome. He's also been forced to carry this team as the backcourt gets healthy. If Wall sits, Wood should be assigned a higher endorsement.

Michael Porter, DEN ($7,200) vs. SAS

This will be Porter's first tangle with the Spurs, as he was still sidelined when they last met. The Nuggets are heavily favored here, and Porter is often someone who sticks around in the lopsided contests. The team may need some added assistance if Murray doesn't play, and that should also work out in Porter's favor.

Also consider:  Rudy Gobert, UTA ($8,100) @ PHO, Terry Rozier, CHA ($7,400) @ ORL, Jonas Valanciunas, MEM ($6,700) @ ATL

VALUE PLAYS

As usual, you'll the best value in the injury section, but here are some additional value plays to consider for tonight's slate.

P.J. Washington, CHA ($5,200) @ ORL

Although the game total isn't the best, Washington fits well when you consider the kind of production Gordon Hayward would create when he was in the lineup. Although Miles Bridges should excel in the scenario, he doesn't have the size and inside penetration that Washington lends to the offense. He's also going to find himself racking up boards against the Magic's errant shots.

James Ennis, ORL ($5,400) vs.  CHA

Although I said to ignore the Magic, it's prudent to look at guys who could outperform their salary, and Ennis is definitely one of those guys. Unlike Khem Birch, who sees his tole usurped thanks to Wendell Carter, Ennis keeps chugging along as he fills the holes left at the trade deadline. He's unlikely to be a boom candidate, but he can definitely beat value at this salary point.

Dorian Finney-Smith, DAL ($4,500) @ HOU

When you're thinking top-notch fantasy production, Finney-Smith is not at the forefront of your mind, but his recent production has been solid, and DFS will be good for DFS against the porous Houston defense. He has the ability to pop and crush this salary.

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire.
RotoWire Community
Join Our Subscriber-Only NBA Chat
Chat with our writers and other RotoWire NBA fans for all the pre-game info and in-game banter.
Join The Discussion
ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Jeff Edgerton
Jeff has provided sports content for numerous sports outlets and has played fantasy sports since scores had to be tabulated via newspaper. He started working with RotoWire in 2017. Originally from South Carolina, he's a lifelong Clemson fan now enjoying the sun in Los Angeles.
FanDuel NBA: Tuesday Value Plays
FanDuel NBA: Tuesday Value Plays
DraftKings NBA: Tuesday Picks
DraftKings NBA: Tuesday Picks
Handicapping the NBA: Monday Picks
Handicapping the NBA: Monday Picks
Yahoo DFS Basketball: Monday Picks
Yahoo DFS Basketball: Monday Picks
FanDuel NBA: Monday Value Plays
FanDuel NBA: Monday Value Plays
DraftKings NBA: Monday Picks
DraftKings NBA: Monday Picks