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What to Watch: Week 13 in College Football (Part II)


12:00 PM ET ABC: Michigan 7-4 @ #8 Ohio State 10-1 (-16.5)
- The Wolverines have a chance to play spoiler for the Buckeyes chances at a share of the Big Ten title, but they're going to have get huge production from their defense.  Their defense is one of the worst in college football and a large reason they're 7-4 and not contending for a conference title.  Terrelle Pryor, Boom Herron, Brandon Saine, Dane Sanzenbacher, and every other offensive player for Ohio State should have no problem racking up tons of yards and touchdowns against them.  QB Denard Robinson is a serious weapon for the Wolverines offensively, but he can't do it all by himself.  The Buckeyes defense is one of the best in the nation and playing at home should only help them.  Ohio State has won 5 in a row in this series.

Wolverines Offense: 514.5 ypg (5th), 7.1 yards/game (6th), 47.6|PERCENT| 3rd Down (19th)
Pass: 257.2 ypg (30th), 9.1 ypa (8th), 64.3|PERCENT| comp. (26th), 21 TDs, & 13 INTs
Run: 257.4 ypg (10th), 5.78 yards/carry (5th), & 34 TDs

Buckeyes Defense: 241.1 ypg (3rd), 4.2 yards/play (3rd), & 29.7|PERCENT| 3rd Down (4th)
Pass: 155.1 ypg (5th), 5.6 ypa (6th), 54.8|PERCENT| comp. (19th), 7 TDs, & 17 INTs
Run: 86.0 ypg (3rd), 2.85 yards/carry (5th), & 8 TDs

Buckeyes Offense: 446.2 ypg (18th), 6.5 yards/game (15th), 44.5|PERCENT| 3rd Down (34th)
Pass: 230.0 ypg (55th), 8.5 ypa (18th), 66.0|PERCENT| comp. (15th), 26 TDs, & 12 INTs
Run: 216.2 ypg (17th), 5.20 yards/carry (17th), & 24 TDs

Wolverines Defense: 445.2 ypg (112th), 6.0 yards/play (92nd), & 40.9|PERCENT| 3rd Down (76th)
Pass: 263.9 ypg (111th), 8.1 ypa (106th), 62.7|PERCENT| comp. (95th), 16 TDs, & 10 INTs
Run: 181.3 ypg (92nd), 4.42 yards/carry (77th), & 29 TDs

12:00 PM ET ESPN/2: #10 Michigan State 10-1 (-1.5) @ Penn State 7-4 - The Spartans are playing for a share of the Big Ten title and can ill afford an upset in Happy Valley.  Last weekend Purdue almost caught them, but a special teams play once again bailed them out.  This weekend they'll have to deal with QB Matthew McGloin, who has been playing great since becoming the starter.  He has an 11/3 TD/INT ratio and a QB passer rating (148.39) that would rank in the top 25, if he had enough games to qualify.  RB Evan Royster has been splitting carries with Silas Redd and the two have combined to do a modest job (117.3 ypg & 7 TDs) rushing the ball.  The Spartans have been pretty good against the run, but Purdue was able to run for 5.56 yards per carry against them, the most of any opponent.  For Michigan State offensively, expect a heavy dose of RBs Edwin Baker, Le'Veon Bell, and Larry Caper.  Penn State has won 5 in a row at home against Michigan State. 

Spartans Offense: 413.5 ypg (37th), 6.5 yards/game (15th), 36.9|PERCENT| 3rd Down (83rd)
Pass: 244.2 ypg (39th), 8.4 ypa (21st), 65.9|PERCENT| comp. (16th), 19 TDs, & 9 INTs
Run: 169.4 ypg (42nd), 4.94 yards/carry (25th), & 24 TDs

Nittany Lions Defense: 354.5 ypg (48th), 5.6 yards/play (70th), & 31.1|PERCENT| 3rd Down (6th)
Pass: 189.7 ypg (25th), 7.0 ypa (60th), 60.3|PERCENT| comp. (75th), 16 TDs, & 9 INTs
Run: 164.7 ypg (74th), 4.54 yards/carry (83rd), & 11 TDs

Nittany Lions Offense: 372.1 ypg (64th), 5.6 yards/game (55th), 43.3|PERCENT| 3rd Down (42nd)
Pass: 233.9 ypg (58th), 7.2 ypa (51st), 57.6|PERCENT| comp. (77th), 16 TDs, & 11 INTs
Run: 148.2 ypg (71st), 4.17 yards/carry (66th), & 13 TDs

Spartans Defense: 332.5 ypg (28th), 4.9 yards/play (24th), & 37.3|PERCENT| 3rd Down (36th)
Pass: 207.1 ypg (47th), 6.4 ypa (30th), 56.6|PERCENT| comp. (39th), 16 TDs, & 16 INTs
Run: 125.4 ypg (23rd), 3.57 yards/carry (25th), & 9 TDs

3:30 PM ET ABC/ESPN: Florida 7-4 @ #22 Florida State 8-3 (-2) - The Gators have had a down season due in large part to their lack of offense.  QB John Brantley has an 8/8 TD/INT ratio and has only 9 passes of 25 yards or more, which ranks near last in the nation for starting QBs.  The run game has picked up since Chris Rainey has rejoined the team.  Still they were only able to muster 35 yards on the ground against South Carolina, their last big game.  The Seminoles are vulnerable against the run giving up an average of 160 yards in their last two games.  They're first in the nation in sacks, despite ranking 86th against the pass.  On offense, they rely on the run to move the ball.  QB Christian Ponder has battled injuries lately and only threw for 170 yards in his last game against Maryland.  The Gators have only allowed 2 passing TDs in their last three games, so expect Ponder's struggles to continue.  The Gators have won the last 5 games in this series. 

Gators Offense: 364.6 ypg (73rd), 5.4 yards/game (67th), 37.8|PERCENT| 3rd Down (72nd)
Pass: 202.8 ypg (69th), 6.6 ypa (89th), 61.5|PERCENT| comp. (44th), 11 TDs, & 10 INTs
Run: 161.8 ypg (48th), 4.33 yards/carry (55th), & 29 TDs

Seminoles Defense: 347.3 ypg (43rd), 4.8 yards/play (19th), & 37.3|PERCENT| 3rd Down (37th)
Pass: 231.6 ypg (86th), 6.4 ypa (30th), 58.2|PERCENT| comp. (57th), 12 TDs, & 11 INTs
Run: 115.6 ypg (17th), 3.13 yards/carry (9th), & 9 TDs

Seminoles Offense: 396.0 ypg (50th), 6.2 yards/game (25th), 47.9|PERCENT| 3rd Down (18th)
Pass: 212.6 ypg (63rd), 7.3 ypa (47th), 62.1|PERCENT| comp. (41st), 19 TDs, & 10 INTs
Run: 183.4 ypg (33rd), 5.21 yards/carry (16th), & 22 TDs

Gators Defense: 300.2 ypg (10th), 4.6 yards/play (12th), & 37.4|PERCENT| 3rd Down (39th)
Pass: 168.6 ypg (13th), 6.0 ypa (14th), 54.4|PERCENT| comp. (14th), 13 TDs, & 17 INTs
Run: 131.6 ypg (35th), 3.58 yards/carry (28th), & 11 TDs

3:30 PM ET ABC/ESPN: Northwestern 7-4 @ #7 Wisconsin 10-1 (-23) - The Wildcats are a different team without QB Dan Persa, who ruptured his achilles in their win over Iowa.  Persa was 2nd in the nation in completion percentage (73.5|PERCENT|), 13th in QB passer rating (159.04), and the team's second leading rusher.  New QB, frosh Evan Watkins was 10/20 for 135 yards, 0 TDs, and 1 INT last week against Illinois.  Unless RB Mike Trumpy is able to deliver a monster game, the Badgers defense should dominate this game.  And if their defense doesn't, their running game will.  The Badgers have rushed for 695 yards and 12 TDs in their last two games and that's without starting RB John Clay (knee).  To make matters worse, the Northwestern defense is coming off a game where they gave up 519 yards and 5 TDs to Illinois.  Look for RBs James White and Montee Ball to have monster games.  Northwestern has won 4 of the last 6 in this series. 

Wildcats Offense: 402.3 ypg (46th), 5.5 yards/game (61st), 48.8|PERCENT| 3rd Down (16th)
Pass: 253.5 ypg (31st), 8.4 ypa (21st), 71.5|PERCENT| comp. (2nd), 15 TDs, & 5 INTs
Run: 148.8 ypg (69th), 3.47 yards/carry (102nd), & 18 TDs

Badgers Defense: 327.1 ypg (26th), 5.3 yards/play (50th), & 39.7|PERCENT| 3rd Down (63rd)
Pass: 198.1 ypg (34th), 6.8 ypa (51st), 56.7|PERCENT| comp. (40th), 18 TDs, & 10 INTs
Run: 129.0 ypg (29th), 3.92 yards/carry (43rd), & 6 TDs

Badgers Offense: 440.3 ypg (23rd), 6.7 yards/game (10th), 51.3|PERCENT| 3rd Down (10th)
Pass: 200.4 ypg (73rd), 9.3 ypa (6th), 74.2|PERCENT| comp. (1st), 13 TDs, & 6 INTs
Run: 239.9 ypg (12th), 5.45 yards/carry (11th), & 41 TDs

Wildcats Defense: 402.6 ypg (84th), 5.7 yards/play (73rd), & 35.5|PERCENT| 3rd Down (23rd)
Pass: 230.5 ypg (84th), 6.5 ypa (36th), 58.1|PERCENT| comp. (55th), 17 TDs, & 14 INTs
Run: 172.1 ypg (82nd), 4.93 yards/carry (101st), & 17 TDs

3:30 PM ET CBS: #5 LSU 10-1 @ #12 Arkansas 9-2 (-3.5) - Arkansas is a hot team right now, winners of five in a row with their only losses on the season coming to Alabama and Auburn.  QB Ryan Mallet ranks 5th in passing yards per game (297.5), 3rd in QB passer rating (168.61), 3rd in yards per attempt (9.6), and 11th in completion percentage (67.2|PERCENT|).  Maybe the bigger story though is the emergence of RB Knile Davis.  Davis has rushed for an average of 138 yards over his last 6 games with 11 total TDs.  This comes after starting the season averaging 40.6 yards per game in his first 5 games with only 1 TD.  LSU's strength is their defense, so this should be a great match-up to watch.  Their weakness is their offense, which has struggled mightily this season because of their QB play.  The Arkansas run defense gave up 262 yards last week against Mississippi State, so expect to see plenty of LSU RB Stevan Ridley and the Tigers 30th ranked run game.  LSU has won 5 of the last 7 games against Arkansas. 

Tigers Offense: 338.3 ypg (88th), 5.3 yards/game (73rd), 37.3|PERCENT| 3rd Down (81st)
Pass: 151.9 ypg (108th), 6.6 ypa (89th), 57.7|PERCENT| comp. (75th), 7 TDs, & 10 INTs
Run: 186.4 ypg (30th), 4.62 yards/carry (38th), & 25 TDs

Razorbacks Defense: 343.9 ypg (38th), 5.2 yards/play (38th), & 32.7|PERCENT| 3rd Down (9th)
Pass: 181.3 ypg (18th), 7.0 ypa (60th), 54.5|PERCENT| comp. (15th), 11 TDs, & 11 INTs
Run: 162.6 ypg (72nd), 4.08 yards/carry (56th), & 17 TDs

Razorbacks Offense: 491.5 ypg (8th), 7.3 yards/game (3rd), 44.1|PERCENT| 3rd Down (37th)
Pass: 340.1 ypg (3rd), 9.5 ypa (4th), 66.8|PERCENT| comp. (10th), 31 TDs, & 12 INTs
Run: 151.5 ypg (66th), 4.86 yards/carry (28th), & 21 TDs

Tigers Defense: 286.9 ypg (5th), 4.6 yards/play (12th), & 35.7|PERCENT| 3rd Down (28th)
Pass: 151.8 ypg (4th), 5.9 ypa (11th), 56.1|PERCENT| comp. (32nd), 9 TDs, & 14 INTs
Run: 135.1 ypg (40th), 3.70 yards/carry (35th), & 14 TDs

3:30 PM ET ESPN2: #23 NC State 8-3 (-2) @ Maryland 7-4 - If NC State wins this game, they win the ACC Atlantic and a spot in ACC title game.  QB Russell Wilson leads the conference in passing yards per game (270.6) and in TD passes (24).  It's a bit concerning that he has thrown a INT in 8 straight games, this after throwing only 1 his entire freshman season.  The Wolfpack run game started the season off strong, but has since struggled with only 73.7 yards per game in their last three games.  The Terrapins run defense has given up 153.7 ypg over their last three games, so perhaps this is the game NC State's run game gets back on track.  Offensively, expect Maryland to pass the ball early and often to test a NC State defense that gave up 411 passing yards and 2 TDs to North Carolina last week.  Maryland has won 4 of the last 5 games against NC State at home. 

Wolfpack Offense: 403.0 ypg (44th), 5.4 yards/game (67th), 43.5|PERCENT| 3rd Down (41st)
Pass: 279.0 ypg (17th), 7.0 ypa (62nd), 59.5|PERCENT| comp. (58th), 24 TDs, & 13 INTs
Run: 124.0 ypg (94th), 3.50 yards/carry (100th), & 15 TDs

Terrapins Defense: 345.7 ypg (40th), 4.8 yards/play (19th), & 39.3|PERCENT| 3rd Down (59th)
Pass: 212.7 ypg (55th), 6.2 ypa (23rd), 53.3|PERCENT| comp. (11th), 13 TDs, & 16 INTs
Run: 133.0 ypg (38th), 3.46 yards/carry (23rd), & 12 TDs

Terrapins Offense: 336.5 ypg (91st), 5.3 yards/game (73rd), 34.9|PERCENT| 3rd Down (98th)
Pass: 199.4 ypg (74th), 6.9 ypa (69th), 54.1|PERCENT| comp. (103rd), 22 TDs, & 8 INTs
Run: 137.1 ypg (84th), 4.02 yards/carry (77th), & 14 TDs

Wolfpack Defense: 334.4 ypg (30th), 5.2 yards/play (38th), & 31.8|PERCENT| 3rd Down (7th)
Pass: 210.3 ypg (53rd), 7.2 ypa (70th), 59.7|PERCENT| comp. (72nd), 16 TDs, & 8 INTs
Run: 124.1 ypg (20th), 3.52 yards/carry (24th), & 11 TDs

7:00 PM ET ESPN2: #18 South Carolina 8-3 (-3) @ Clemson 6-5 - Clemson has had problems getting in the end-zone this season.  They rank 9th in scoring offense in the ACC, averaging just 25.4 points per game.  The South Carolina defense is awful against the pass, but it's doubtful that Clemson has the personnel to take advantage of this weakness.  QB Kyle Parker has a 5/8 TD/INT ratio with a 5.9 ypa in conference play.  On the ground, the Tigers averaged only 3.60 yards per carry in ACC play.  This isn't a good sign as they go up against a great Gamecocks run defense that ranks 7th nationally.  South Carolina shouldn't have this problem with RB Marcus Lattimore.  Two weeks ago against Florida, he rushed for 212 yards and 3 TDs.  Still, the Clemson defense is allowing only 16.7 points per game, which is tops in the ACC.  How they handle WR Alshon Jeffery should be interesting, as he's very physical and almost impossible to tackle with one defender.  Clemson has won 10 of the last 13 games in this series. 

Gamecocks Offense: 401.3 ypg (48th), 6.2 yards/game (25th), 51.8|PERCENT| 3rd Down (9th)
Pass: 240.3 ypg (44th), 9.1 ypa (8th), 67.9|PERCENT| comp. (7th), 18 TDs, & 12 INTs
Run: 161.0 ypg (51st), 4.18 yards/carry (65th), & 25 TDs

Tigers Defense: 323.8 ypg (24th), 4.9 yards/play (24th), & 37.0|PERCENT| 3rd Down (32nd)
Pass: 188.9 ypg (21st), 6.4 ypa (30th), 52.8|PERCENT| comp. (8th), 14 TDs, & 14 INTs
Run: 134.9 ypg (39th), 3.62 yards/carry (30th), & 6 TDs

Tigers Offense: 345.6 ypg (84th), 5.2 yards/game (82nd), 41.3|PERCENT| 3rd Down (50th)
Pass: 191.6 ypg (80th), 6.3 ypa (97th), 56.8|PERCENT| comp. (83rd), 14 TDs, & 11 INTs
Run: 154.0 ypg (62nd), 4.21 yards/carry (62nd), & 18 TDs

Gamecocks Defense: 346.6 ypg (41st), 5.2 yards/play (38th), & 38.9|PERCENT| 3rd Down (52nd)
Pass: 250.5 ypg (104th), 7.3 ypa (78th), 64.5|PERCENT| comp. (107th), 17 TDs, & 8 INTs
Run: 96.1 ypg (7th), 2.99 yards/carry (6th), & 9 TDs

7:30 PM ET Versus: Oregon State 5-5 @ #6 Stanford 10-1 (-13.5) - Andrew Luck is priority number 1 for Oregon State.  He's 8th in QB passer rating (162.81), 6th in completion percentage (70.2|PERCENT|), and leads the nation in average yards per carry (9.08) as a rusher.  He torched Cal's defense last weekend for 235 yards passing, 2 TDs, and 72 yards rushing.  This is the same defense that was #1 in terms of yards allowed at home.  The Beavers' run defense has been exposed in multiple games this season and it wouldn't at all surprised me to see Luck, RB Stepfan Taylor, and RB Anthony Wilkerson follow suit with big games.  For the Oregon State offense, it's all about QB Ryan Katz and RB Jacquizz Rodgers.   Katz has a 6/1 TD/INT ratio over his last 4 games with a 68.4|PERCENT| completion rate.  Rodgers is 2nd in the Pac-10 in rushing yards per game (102.4) and 2nd in rushing TDs on the season (14).  The Cardinal defense has done well against the run lately, but is susceptible to large gains in the passing game, especially late in games.  Stanford is 81st in the nation in 4th quarter QB passer rating (134.66).  Oregon State desperately needs a win in this game to get bowl eligible because next week they face Oregon.  The Beavers have won 7 of the last 9 in this series. 

Beavers Offense: 331.4 ypg (94th), 5.4 yards/game (67th), 36.3|PERCENT| 3rd Down (92nd)
Pass: 201.9 ypg (70th), 7.1 ypa (56th), 60.6|PERCENT| comp. (50th), 17 TDs, & 5 INTs
Run: 129.5 ypg (90th), 3.89 yards/carry (82nd), & 18 TDs

Cardinal Defense: 329.5 ypg (27th), 5.2 yards/play (38th), & 37.1|PERCENT| 3rd Down (34th)
Pass: 198.8 ypg (35th), 6.3 ypa (26th), 58.6|PERCENT| comp. (61st), 15 TDs, & 14 INTs
Run: 130.6 ypg (33rd), 4.13 yards/carry (60th), & 12 TDs

Cardinal Offense: 466.5 ypg (14th), 6.5 yards/game (15th), 57.5|PERCENT| 3rd Down (1st)
Pass: 251.4 ypg (34th), 8.5 ypa (18th), 69.6|PERCENT| comp. (5th), 24 TDs, & 7 INTs
Run: 215.2 ypg (18th), 5.09 yards/carry (21st), & 31 TDs

Beavers Defense: 393.1 ypg (76th), 5.5 yards/play (61st), & 46.0|PERCENT| 3rd Down (106th)
Pass: 228.8 ypg (82nd), 7.6 ypa (86th), 61.9|PERCENT| comp. (90th), 17 TDs, & 10 INTs
Run: 164.3 ypg (73rd), 3.93 yards/carry (45th), & 15 TDs

7:45 PM ET ESPN: Georgia Tech 6-5 @ Georgia 5-6 (-13.5) - The Bulldogs need a win to get bowl eligible and will be pulling out all the stops to get there.  QB Aaron Murray has an 11/3 TD/INT ratio over his last 6 games and all three of those INTs were in one game to Florida.  WR A.J. Green is a large reason for his success, last week against Auburn he had 9 catches for 164 yards and 2 TDs.  Expect the Bulldogs to run often against this Yellow Jackets defense that gave up 277 yards and 4 TDs two weeks ago to Miami.  Offensively for Georgia Tech, their triple-option offense is without QB Joshua Nesbitt (right forearm).  QB Tevin Washington has taken over and averaged 108 yards rushing in his last two games.  RB Anthony Allen continues to play well, averaging 96.3 ypg, which is 2nd in the ACC.  The Bulldogs will have to tackle better than they did against Florida and Auburn, where they gave up 5.10 yards per carry and 9 total TDs.  The Bulldogs have won 8 of the last 9 in this series. 

Yellow Jackets Offense: 405.6 ypg (43rd), 5.9 yards/game (36th), 38.6|PERCENT| 3rd Down (68th)
Pass: 86.3 ypg (119th), 6.8 ypa (76th), 36.7|PERCENT| comp. (120th), 9 TDs, & 5 INTs
Run: 319.4 ypg (1st), 5.68 yards/carry (7th), & 25 TDs

Bulldogs Defense: 319.8 ypg (21st), 5.2 yards/play (38th), & 41.3|PERCENT| 3rd Down (79th)
Pass: 193.3 ypg (29th), 7.8 ypa (92nd), 55.0|PERCENT| comp. (21st), 14 TDs, & 13 INTs
Run: 126.6 ypg (25th), 3.44 yards/carry (21st), & 18 TDs

Bulldogs Offense: 390.9 ypg (54th), 6.2 yards/game (25th), 43.0|PERCENT| 3rd Down (43rd)
Pass: 243.8 ypg (41st), 8.9 ypa (12th), 60.3|PERCENT| comp. (52nd), 22 TDs, & 6 INTs
Run: 147.1 ypg (73rd), 4.11 yards/carry (71st), & 19 TDs

Yellow Jackets Defense: 374.5 ypg (66th), 5.6 yards/play (70th), & 40.1|PERCENT| 3rd Down (72nd)
Pass: 203.4 ypg (41st), 6.9 ypa (54th), 60.4|PERCENT| comp. (77th), 11 TDs, & 8 INTs
Run: 171.1 ypg (79th), 4.58 yards/carry (88th), & 22 TDs

8:00 PM ET ABC/ESPN: #13 Oklahoma 9-2 @ #9 Oklahoma State 10-1 (-2.5) - The Bedlam series has added importance this season, in that the winner will likely win the BIg 12 South and a spot in the Big 12 title game.  Both of the offenses are explosive and like to pass the ball.  Cowboys QB Brandon Weeden ranks 2nd in passing ypg (343.6), while Sooners QB Landry Jones ranks 3rd in passing ypg (316.3).  There are also great RBs and WRs to watch in Kendall Hunter & Justin Blackmon for OK State and DeMarco Murray & Ryan Broyles for OU.  There will be little to no defense in this game that profiles as a shootout of the highest order.  Both of Oklahoma's losses this season have come on the road, a fact that should help OK State in this rivalry game.  The Sooners have won 4 of the last 5 at Oklahoma State. 

Sooners Offense: 471.2 ypg (12th), 5.5 yards/game (61st), 45.2|PERCENT| 3rd Down (29th)
Pass: 324.4 ypg (4th), 7.4 ypa (44th), 66.7|PERCENT| comp. (11th), 30 TDs, & 7 INTs
Run: 146.8 ypg (75th), 3.47 yards/carry (102nd), & 20 TDs

Cowboys Defense: 396.9 ypg (78th), 5.0 yards/play (29th), & 41.4|PERCENT| 3rd Down (81st)
Pass: 258.0 ypg (108th), 6.2 ypa (23rd), 62.7|PERCENT| comp. (95th), 19 TDs, & 13 INTs
Run: 138.9 ypg (44th), 3.67 yards/carry (32nd), & 14 TDs

Cowboys Offense: 552.0 ypg (1st), 7.1 yards/game (6th), 45.6|PERCENT| 3rd Down (26th)
Pass: 363.5 ypg (2nd), 8.9 ypa (12th), 67.9|PERCENT| comp. (7th), 32 TDs, & 11 INTs
Run: 188.5 ypg (29th), 5.09 yards/carry (21st), & 24 TDs

Sooners Defense: 369.0 ypg (62nd), 5.2 yards/play (38th), & 35.0|PERCENT| 3rd Down (19th)
Pass: 213.9 ypg (58th), 6.1 ypa (19th), 54.7|PERCENT| comp. (17th), 12 TDs, & 13 INTs
Run: 155.1 ypg (63rd), 4.30 yards/carry (68th), & 12 TDs